Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 13.037568 14.565240 16.216456 18.136502 20.311112 22.701412 25.532998
2025-06-08 10.730387 12.781888 15.161146 18.135063 21.767549 26.078714 31.610526
2025-06-15 9.305258 11.733079 14.731507 18.732601 23.970254 30.646018 39.883042
2025-06-22 7.903798 10.479334 13.842907 18.603134 25.240097 34.274187 47.688048
2025-06-29 6.705381 9.296672 12.854178 18.163937 26.006489 37.350943 55.347177
2025-07-06 5.818566 8.401390 12.112770 17.930789 26.998327 40.887931 64.356802
2025-07-13 5.307780 7.965639 11.955049 18.512177 29.280790 46.732818 78.135047
2025-07-20 4.878529 7.587209 11.820698 19.094330 31.645057 53.109245 94.148799
2025-07-27 4.449879 7.148193 11.523847 19.354323 33.499601 58.939627 110.459345
2025-08-03 3.996683 6.608350 10.985734 19.112830 34.419281 63.249569 124.834536
2025-08-10 3.597607 6.108711 10.447903 18.784417 35.110834 67.233682 139.434048
2025-08-17 3.264909 5.683594 9.984700 18.519922 35.869531 71.466137 155.520963
2025-08-24 2.981406 5.320831 9.602340 18.380729 36.912242 76.599493 175.215788
2025-08-31 2.743107 5.014012 9.286945 18.329785 38.137748 82.387101 198.055102
2025-09-07 2.602091 4.874701 9.274967 18.898875 40.809725 91.982768 233.164174
2025-09-14 2.399358 4.592037 8.944796 18.743655 41.826653 97.912888 260.333666
2025-09-21 2.190332 4.273941 8.504977 18.284242 42.053956 101.960814 283.471425
2025-09-28 2.024220 4.025450 8.180691 18.038055 42.754407 107.367071 312.268628
2025-10-05 1.943584 3.946506 8.208555 18.615144 45.628808 119.205140 364.899626
2025-10-12 1.868775 3.871634 8.235872 19.195023 48.624111 132.086969 425.495097
2025-10-19 1.776151 3.747866 8.138570 19.452399 50.802461 143.128330 483.776553
2025-10-26 1.657739 3.554497 7.859371 19.206721 51.534497 149.987412 529.362140
2025-11-02 1.544727 3.362471 7.562653 18.874593 51.963801 156.023248 574.157667